Today / Netherlands - Tweede Divisie / Ijsselmeervogels vs RKAV Volendam

Ijsselmeervogels vs RKAV Volendam Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

Ijsselmeervogels

PPG 1.14 · HOME

LAST 5

WLD ··

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

RKAV Volendam

PPG 1.04 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWD ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 59.8% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-14.9%0-23.2%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-07.3%1-19.6%1-26.4%1-32.8%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.2%2-19.5%2-26.3%2-32.8%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.8%3-16.3%3-24.2%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-14.9%4+-23.3%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% 54.1% 1.85 -3.1%

Draw 23.0% 28.6% 3.50 -11.7%

Away win 24.6% 30.3% 3.30 -11.3%

Over 2.5 59.8% 66.7% 1.50 -10.3%

Over 3.5 37.6% 46.5% 2.15 -19.2%

BTTS 60.1% 69.4% 1.44 -13.5%

Home O1.5 56.3% 62.5% 1.60 -9.9%

Away O1.5 40.9% 43.7% 2.29 -6.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 35.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.1%

H 52% / xG 2.0-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.2%

#4 1–2 6.4%

#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ijsselmeervogels2.0

RKAV Volendam1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.6%

Form & verdict PPG

IJSSELMEERVOGELS · PPG 1.14

RKAV VOLENDAM · PPG 1.04

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Ijsselmeervogels (H) 52.4%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -3.1%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -11.7%

RKAV Volendam (A) 24.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -11.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ijsselmeervogels face RKAV Volendam in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ijsselmeervogels a 52% chance, the draw 23% and RKAV Volendam 25%, so Ijsselmeervogels are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Ijsselmeervogels and 1.3 for RKAV Volendam (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ijsselmeervogels are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.04 for RKAV Volendam. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +1.3%. This match finished 1-1.

Ijsselmeervogels vs RKAV Volendam Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Predictions