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Kozakken Boys vs GVVV Veenendaal Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 13:00

Kozakken Boys

PPG 1.01 · HOME

LAST 5

LDW ··

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

GVVV Veenendaal

PPG 1.01 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLL ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.2% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-13.8%0-22.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-05.5%1-18.3%1-26.2%1-33.1%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.0%2-19.0%2-26.7%2-33.4%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.4%3-16.5%3-24.9%3-32.4%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-15.9%4+-24.4%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.8% 48.8% 2.05 +6.2%

Draw 21.7% 28.6% 3.50 -14.4%

Away win 26.4% 35.7% 2.80 -15.7%

Over 2.5 68.2% 66.7% 1.50 +2.3%

Over 3.5 45.0% 46.7% 2.14 -3.7%

BTTS 63.1% 71.4% 1.40 -11.7%

Home O1.5 65.7% 59.2% 1.69 +11.0%

Away O1.5 41.5% 48.5% 2.06 -14.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 35.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.1%

H 52% / xG 2.2-1.5 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.3%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 6.2%

#4 3–1 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kozakken Boys2.2

GVVV Veenendaal1.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KOZAKKEN BOYS · PPG 1.01

GVVV VEENENDAAL · PPG 1.01

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kozakken Boys (H) 51.8%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV +6.2%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -14.4%

GVVV Veenendaal (A) 26.4%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -15.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kozakken Boys face GVVV Veenendaal in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kozakken Boys a 52% chance, the draw 22% and GVVV Veenendaal 26%, so Kozakken Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Kozakken Boys and 1.5 for GVVV Veenendaal (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kozakken Boys are averaging 1.01 points per game versus 1.01 for GVVV Veenendaal. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +14.9%. This match finished 3-2.

Kozakken Boys vs GVVV Veenendaal Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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