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De Treffers vs Rijnsburgse Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 16:00

De Treffers

PPG 1.99 · HOME

LAST 5

WWD ··

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Rijnsburgse Boys

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLD ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.4%0-21.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.0%1-16.5%1-24.2%1-31.8%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.7%2-18.7%2-25.6%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-06.0%3-17.8%3-25.0%3-32.2%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-07.8%4+-110.0%4+-26.5%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.0% 65.4% 1.53 -2.1%

Draw 15.3% 25.0% 4.00 -23.3%

Away win 20.7% 23.1% 4.33 -6.2%

Over 2.5 68.2% 75.2% 1.33 -9.3%

Over 3.5 48.2% 55.6% 1.80 -13.2%

BTTS 62.3% 73.5% 1.36 -15.3%

Home O1.5 65.8% 71.4% 1.40 -7.9%

Away O1.5 36.9% 43.1% 2.32 -14.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 35.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.3%

H 64% / xG 2.7-1.3 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 3–1 7.8%

#3 2–0 6.7%

#4 1–1✓ 6.5%

#5 3–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

De Treffers2.7

Rijnsburgse Boys1.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DE TREFFERS · PPG 1.99

RIJNSBURGSE BOYS · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.39 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

De Treffers (H) 64.0%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -2.1%

Draw 15.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -23.3%

Rijnsburgse Boys (A) 20.7%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

De Treffers face Rijnsburgse Boys in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives De Treffers a 64% chance, the draw 15% and Rijnsburgse Boys 21%, so De Treffers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for De Treffers and 1.3 for Rijnsburgse Boys (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, De Treffers are averaging 1.99 points per game versus 1.17 for Rijnsburgse Boys. This match finished 1-1.

De Treffers vs Rijnsburgse Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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