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HHC vs Almere City II Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 12:30

HHC

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

WWW ··

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Almere City II

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLL ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.7% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.9%0-23.6%0-31.7%0-4+0.9%1 1-06.6%1-19.5%1-26.9%1-33.3%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-19.2%2-26.7%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-04.1%3-15.9%3-24.3%3-32.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.4%4+-23.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% 46.5% 2.15 -0.9%

Draw 24.6% 29.4% 3.40 -9.8%

Away win 29.3% 37.0% 2.70 -12.5%

Over 2.5 59.7% 69.4% 1.44 -14.0%

Over 3.5 36.9% 45.7% 2.19 -19.2%

BTTS 60.7% 69.4% 1.44 -12.6%

Home O1.5 54.9% 56.5% 1.77 -2.8%

Away O1.5 41.2% 49.8% 2.01 -17.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 35.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob60.7%

H 46% / xG 1.9-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1✓ 9.2%

#3 1–2 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HHC1.9

Almere City II1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HHC · PPG 1.71

ALMERE CITY II · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.49 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

HHC (H) 46.1%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -0.9%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.8%

Almere City II (A) 29.3%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

HHC face Almere City II in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HHC a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Almere City II 29%, so HHC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for HHC and 1.4 for Almere City II (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HHC are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.21 for Almere City II. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +3.2%. This match finished 2-1.

HHC vs Almere City II Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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