Leagues / INDIA / Indian Super League
Indian Super League
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 37 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
40.5%
1X2
15/37
56.8%
O/U 2.5
21/37
62.2%
BTTS
23/37
59.5%
Exact score
22/37
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
11
Settled
54.5%
Hit rate
6/11
1.88
Avg odds
-3.8%
ROI
-0.4u
Picks by market
AWAY WIN · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 2.34 · -6.3% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.66 · +6.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.51 · -40.0% ROI
BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.85 · +85.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
50%
Hit
+12.5%
ROI
✓ Solid
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+61.5%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
3
Bets
67%
Hit
+10.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
4
Bets
25%
Hit
-55.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 9 PICKS · 4 HIT · 5 MISS
21 MAY Jamshedpur vs Odisha FC Home -28% 0–0 MISS21 MAY Mohun Bagan vs Sporting Delhi Home -33% 2–1 HIT21 MAY Inter Kashi vs East Bengal Away -18% 1–2 HIT21 MAY Punjab vs Mumbai City — NO PICK 0–2 —19 MAY NorthEast Utd vs Mohammedan Over 2.5 -14% 2–0 MISS18 MAY Kerala Blasters vs Goa — NO PICK 2–1 —17 MAY Sporting Delhi vs Inter Kashi — NO PICK 0–0 —17 MAY Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal Over 2.5 -9% 1–1 MISS16 MAY Chennaiyin vs Bengaluru Away -1% 1–2 HIT15 MAY Mohammedan vs Mumbai City — NO PICK 0–4 —12 MAY Mohun Bagan vs Inter Kashi Home -25% 0–0 MISS11 MAY East Bengal vs Punjab Over 2.5 +2% 0–0 MISS10 MAY Kerala Blasters vs Mohammedan Home -31% 3–1 HIT10 MAY NorthEast Utd vs Chennaiyin — NO PICK 4–1 —9 MAY Goa vs Mohun Bagan — NO PICK 1–1 —