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Kerala Blasters vs Goa Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Regular Season - 13 ·Monday, May 18, 2026, 14:00

Kerala Blasters

PPG 1.25 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Goa

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.5%0-116.8%0-29.7%0-33.7%0-4+1.4%1 1-011.2%1-113.0%1-27.5%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-04.3%2-15.0%2-22.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.1%3-11.3%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.2% 29.9% 3.35 -5.3%

Draw 31.4% 32.3% 3.10 -2.7%

Away win 41.4% 48.8% 2.05 -15.1%

Over 2.5 35.0% 47.6% 2.10 -26.5%

Over 3.5 13.0% 26.3% 3.80 -30.4%

BTTS 48.6% 55.6% 1.80 -12.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.6%

A 41% / xG 0.8-1.2 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.5%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 0–1 16.8%

#4 0–2 9.7%

#5 1–0 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kerala Blasters0.8

Goa1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KERALA BLASTERS · PPG 1.25

GOA · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Kerala Blasters (H) 27.2%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -5.3%

Draw 31.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -2.7%

Goa (A) 41.4%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -15.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kerala Blasters face Goa in India - Indian Super League on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kerala Blasters a 27% chance, the draw 31% and Goa 41%, so Goa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Kerala Blasters and 1.2 for Goa (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kerala Blasters are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.50 for Goa. This match finished 2-1.

Kerala Blasters vs Goa Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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