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Mohammedan vs Mumbai City Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Regular Season - 11 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 14:00

Mohammedan

PPG 0.00 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

Mumbai City

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.4%0-117.9%0-210.5%0-34.1%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.9%1-112.7%1-27.4%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-03.8%2-14.5%2-22.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.9%3-11.1%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.7% 12.5% 8.00 +58.6%

Draw 33.2% 24.4% 4.10 +36.1%

Away win 42.1% 73.5% 1.36 -42.7%

Over 2.5 34.7% 55.6% 1.80 -37.5%

Over 3.5 12.1% 33.3% 3.00 -38.2%

BTTS 47.7% 50.0% 2.00 -4.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.7%

A 42% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.4%

#2 0–1 17.9%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–2 10.5%

#5 1–0 10.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mohammedan0.7

Mumbai City1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.7% · O3.5 PROB 12.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MOHAMMEDAN · PPG 0.00

MUMBAI CITY · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Mohammedan (H) 24.7%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV +58.6%

Draw 33.2%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +36.1%

Mumbai City (A) 42.1%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -42.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mohammedan face Mumbai City in India - Indian Super League on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mohammedan a 25% chance, the draw 33% and Mumbai City 42%, so Mumbai City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Mohammedan and 1.2 for Mumbai City (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mohammedan are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.83 for Mumbai City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +58.6%. This match finished 0-4.

Mohammedan vs Mumbai City Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More India - Indian Super League Predictions