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India - Indian Super League Thursday, May 21, 2026 14:00 
Mohun Bagan PPG 2.13 
Sporting Delhi PPG 0.67
India - Indian Super League Thursday, May 21, 2026 14:00 Mohun Bagan PPG 2.132-1 HIT CS5
Sporting Delhi PPG 0.67Away· +88.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 47.4% Odds: 1.57 -25.6%
Over 3.5 21.9% Odds: 2.40 -28.5%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.20 +6.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Mohun Bagan 1.78
Sporting Delhi 0.61
Model Suggestion
Home -32.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -32.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+88.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+88.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 37 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 5.8%
Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=56.1%