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India - Indian Super League logo India flag India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 12 Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium· Kochi Sunday, May 10, 2026 11:30
Kerala Blasters logo Kerala Blasters PPG 1.00
3-1 MISS
Mohammedan logo Mohammedan PPG 0.38
Away· +41.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.0%
Odds: 1.36 EV: -30.6%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 4.33 EV: +8.6%
Away 22.6%
Odds: 7.50 EV: +41.7%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.67 -22.4%
Over 3.5 21.4% Odds: 2.62 -26.4%
BTTS 48.5% Odds: 1.83 -11.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Kerala Blasters
1.64
Mohammedan
0.72

Model Suggestion

Home -30.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -30.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+41.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 5.8%
Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.38)

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