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India - Indian Super League logo India flag India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 10 Salt Lake Stadium· Kolkata Monday, May 11, 2026 14:00
East Bengal logo East Bengal PPG 1.88
0-0 HIT CS5
Punjab logo Punjab PPG 1.40
Over2.5· +2.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%
Odds: 1.77 EV: -9.0%
Draw 25.0%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -7.5%
Away 23.6%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -3.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.9% Odds: 1.80 +2.4%
Over 3.5 32.3% Odds: 3.00 -3.1%
BTTS 53.8% Odds: 1.70 -8.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

East Bengal
1.84
Punjab
1.02

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +2.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is +2.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

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