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India - Indian Super League
Regular Season - 10
Salt Lake Stadium· Kolkata
Monday, May 11, 2026
14:00
East Bengal
PPG 1.88
0-0
HIT CS5
Punjab
PPG 1.40
Over2.5· +2.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
51.4%
Odds: 1.77
EV: -9.0%
Draw
25.0%
Odds: 3.50
EV: -7.5%
Away
23.6%
Odds: 4.00
EV: -3.4%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
56.9%
Odds: 1.80
+2.4%
Over 3.5
32.3%
Odds: 3.00
-3.1%
BTTS
53.8%
Odds: 1.70
-8.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-1
✘
3rd
2-0
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-0
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
East Bengal
1.84
Punjab
1.02
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+2.4%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is +2.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)