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Jamshedpur vs Odisha FC Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Regular Season - 13 ·Thursday, May 21, 2026, 11:30

Jamshedpur

PPG 2.13 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Odisha FC

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.0% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-16.1%0-22.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.6%1-110.7%1-23.9%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.8%2-19.4%2-23.4%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-07.5%3-15.5%3-22.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-13.6%4+-21.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% 74.1% 1.35 -28.4%

Draw 24.9% 22.7% 4.40 +5.7%

Away win 22.1% 12.9% 7.75 +42.8%

Over 2.5 47.6% 61.7% 1.62 -22.9%

Over 3.5 23.9% 38.5% 2.60 -22.7%

BTTS 49.2% 54.6% 1.83 -10.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 53% / xG 1.8-0.7 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.6%

#2 2–0 12.8%

#3 1–1 10.7%

#4 0–0✓ 8.3%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jamshedpur1.8

Odisha FC0.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 23.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JAMSHEDPUR · PPG 2.13

ODISHA FC · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=53.0%

Win probability 1X2

Jamshedpur (H) 53.0%

ODDS 1.35 · IMPLIED 74.1% EV -28.4%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +5.7%

Odisha FC (A) 22.1%

ODDS 7.75 · IMPLIED 12.9% EV +42.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jamshedpur face Odisha FC in India - Indian Super League on Thursday, May 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jamshedpur a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Odisha FC 22%, so Jamshedpur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Jamshedpur and 0.7 for Odisha FC (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jamshedpur are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 0.86 for Odisha FC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +42.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Jamshedpur vs Odisha FC Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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