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India - Indian Super League logo India flag India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 11 Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan· Kolkata Sunday, May 17, 2026 14:00
Mohun Bagan logo Mohun Bagan PPG 2.29
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
East Bengal logo East Bengal PPG 3.00
Away· +22.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.8%
Odds: 1.90 EV: -28.2%
Draw 27.7%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -2.7%
Away 34.5%
Odds: 3.55 EV: +22.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.73 -9.0%
Over 3.5 26.4% Odds: 2.75 -16.4%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.57 -17.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Mohun Bagan
1.35
East Bengal
1.25

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -9.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -9.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+22.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.29)

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