Today / India - Indian Super League / Mohun Bagan vs Inter Kashi

Mohun Bagan vs Inter Kashi Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Regular Season - 10 ·Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 14:00

Mohun Bagan

PPG 2.50 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Inter Kashi

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 65.0% vs bookmaker-implied 87.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-13.4%0-21.1%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-012.1%1-17.9%1-22.6%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.9%2-19.0%2-22.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.6%3-16.9%3-22.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-010.4%4+-16.7%4+-22.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.0% 87.0% 1.15 -25.3%

Draw 22.2% 17.2% 5.80 +17.3%

Away win 12.8% 6.7% 15.00 +55.2%

Over 2.5 59.4% 69.4% 1.44 -14.5%

Over 3.5 33.9% 47.6% 2.10 -28.8%

BTTS 49.7% 48.8% 2.05 +1.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.7%

H 65% / xG 2.3-0.6 / O2.5 59% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.9%

#2 1–0 12.1%

#3 3–0 10.6%

#4 1–1 7.9%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mohun Bagan2.3

Inter Kashi0.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.4% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

MOHUN BAGAN · PPG 2.50

INTER KASHI · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away AVERAGE (1.14) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Mohun Bagan (H) 65.0%

ODDS 1.15 · IMPLIED 87.0% EV -25.3%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 5.80 · IMPLIED 17.2% EV +17.3%

Inter Kashi (A) 12.8%

ODDS 15.00 · IMPLIED 6.7% EV +55.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mohun Bagan face Inter Kashi in India - Indian Super League on Tuesday, May 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mohun Bagan a 65% chance, the draw 22% and Inter Kashi 13%, so Mohun Bagan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Mohun Bagan and 0.6 for Inter Kashi (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mohun Bagan are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.14 for Inter Kashi. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +55.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Mohun Bagan vs Inter Kashi Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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