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Inter Kashi vs East Bengal Prediction— India - Indian Super League

Regular Season - 13 ·Thursday, May 21, 2026, 14:00

Inter Kashi logo
Inter Kashi
PPG 1.00 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
East Bengal logo
East Bengal
PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 61.5% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-114.0%0-213.4%0-38.5%0-4+6.3%1 1-05.2%1-19.8%1-29.4%1-36.0%1-4+4.4%2 2-01.8%2-13.5%2-23.3%2-32.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-00.4%3-10.8%3-20.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 14.2% 11.4% 8.80 +15.0%
Draw 24.3% 22.7% 4.40 +4.2%
Away win 61.5% 75.2% 1.33 -18.2%
Over 2.5 52.6% 59.9% 1.67 -12.2%
Over 3.5 26.6% 38.2% 2.62 -18.2%
BTTS 49.2% 51.8% 1.93 -5.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5 57%
BTTS 62%
Score Hit 60%
ROI 5.0%
Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 37%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob49.2%

A 62% / xG 0.7-1.9 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.4%
#2 0–1 14.0%
#3 1–1 9.8%
#4 1–2 9.4%
#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Kashi0.7
East Bengal1.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 26.6%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER KASHI · PPG 1.00

EAST BENGAL · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Inter Kashi (H) 14.2%
ODDS 8.80 · IMPLIED 11.4% EV +15.0%
Draw 24.3%
ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +4.2%
East Bengal (A) 61.5%
ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -18.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Kashi face East Bengal in India - Indian Super League on Thursday, May 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Kashi a 14% chance, the draw 24% and East Bengal 62%, so East Bengal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Inter Kashi and 1.9 for East Bengal (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Kashi are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.33 for East Bengal. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.0%. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

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