Leagues / GERMANY / Regionalliga - West
Regionalliga - West
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 35 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
40.0%
1X2
14/35
60.0%
O/U 2.5
21/35
51.4%
BTTS
18/35
25.7%
Exact score
9/35
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
10
Settled
40.0%
Hit rate
4/10
1.53
Avg odds
-41.1%
ROI
-4.1u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.58 · +4.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.29 · -61.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.77 · -100.0% ROI
BTTS · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.58 · -20.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
60%
Hit
-5.6%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
3
Bets
33%
Hit
-61.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 15 PICKS · 8 HIT · 7 MISS
16 MAY Bochum B vs Dusseldorf B Over 2.5 -7% 2–2 HIT16 MAY Wuppertaler vs Bonner SC Over 2.5 -18% 0–1 MISS16 MAY Wiedenbruck vs Dortmund B Over 2.5 -13% 2–0 MISS16 MAY Paderborn B vs Rodinghausen Over 2.5 -8% 2–0 MISS16 MAY Mgladbach B vs Gutersloh BTTS -15% 2–4 HIT16 MAY Bocholt vs Oberhausen Over 2.5 -14% 2–2 HIT9 MAY Rodinghausen vs Wiedenbruck Over 2.5 0–1 MISS9 MAY Schalke 04 B vs Bocholt BTTS 1–0 MISS9 MAY Dusseldorf B vs Wuppertaler Over 2.5 2–2 HIT8 MAY SSVg Velbert vs Paderborn B BTTS 1–3 HIT8 MAY Gutersloh vs Bochum B Over 2.5 6–0 HIT3 MAY Paderborn B vs Fortuna Koln BTTS 2–1 HIT3 MAY Schalke 04 B vs Dortmund B BTTS +14% 4–0 MISS2 MAY Mgladbach B vs Bocholt BTTS 3–0 MISS2 MAY Wuppertaler vs Gutersloh BTTS 1–1 HIT