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Dusseldorf B vs Wuppertaler Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Dusseldorf B

PPG 1.19 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Wuppertaler

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-15.3%0-23.2%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-08.5%1-110.2%1-26.1%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.8%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.2%3-16.2%3-23.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-14.6%4+-22.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 25.1% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 38.0% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.8%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 1–0 8.5%

#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dusseldorf B1.9

Wuppertaler1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 38.0%

Form & verdict PPG

DUSSELDORF B · PPG 1.19

WUPPERTALER · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.19) > Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Dusseldorf B (H) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wuppertaler (A) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dusseldorf B face Wuppertaler in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dusseldorf B a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Wuppertaler 25%, so Dusseldorf B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Dusseldorf B and 1.2 for Wuppertaler (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dusseldorf B are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 0.88 for Wuppertaler. This match finished 2-2.

Dusseldorf B vs Wuppertaler Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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