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Mgladbach B vs Bocholt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 32 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Mgladbach B

PPG 1.47 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Bocholt

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-15.4%0-23.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.9%1 1-07.0%1-110.0%1-27.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.5%2-19.2%2-26.6%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.0%3-15.7%3-24.1%3-31.9%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-14.0%4+-22.9%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 28.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.6% — — —

Over 3.5 41.5% — — —

BTTS 65.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob65.5%

H 46% / xG 1.9-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mgladbach B1.9

Bocholt1.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MGLADBACH B · PPG 1.47

BOCHOLT · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Mgladbach B (H) 46.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bocholt (A) 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mgladbach B face Bocholt in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mgladbach B a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Bocholt 28%, so Mgladbach B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Mgladbach B and 1.4 for Bocholt (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mgladbach B are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.33 for Bocholt. This match finished 3-0.

Mgladbach B vs Bocholt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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