Today / Germany - Regionalliga - West / Gutersloh vs Bochum B

Gutersloh vs Bochum B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 33 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 17:30

Gutersloh logo
Gutersloh
PPG 1.81 · HOME
6 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Bochum B logo
Bochum B
PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-16.7%0-24.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.5%1-111.3%1-26.7%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.5%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.5%3-15.4%3-23.2%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.3%4+-22.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 48.4%
Draw 26.1%
Away win 25.5%
Over 2.5 58.8%
Over 3.5 32.6%
BTTS 56.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 51%
Score Hit 26%
ROI -37.0%
Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 6-0
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob56.5%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%
#2 2–1 9.5%
#3 2–0 8.0%
#4 1–0 9.5%
#5 0–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gutersloh1.7
Bochum B1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GUTERSLOH · PPG 1.81

BOCHUM B · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.81) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Gutersloh (H) 48.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Bochum B (A) 25.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gutersloh face Bochum B in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gutersloh a 48% chance, the draw 26% and Bochum B 26%, so Gutersloh are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Gutersloh and 1.2 for Bochum B (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gutersloh are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 1.33 for Bochum B. This match finished 6-0.

PredictVantage

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