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Wuppertaler vs Bonner SC Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 34 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 12:00

Wuppertaler

PPG 0.69 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Bonner SC

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-111.6%0-29.0%0-34.7%0-4+2.6%1 1-07.7%1-112.0%1-29.4%1-34.9%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.0%2-16.3%2-24.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.4%3-12.2%3-21.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.3% 36.4% 2.75 -13.3%

Draw 26.4% 27.4% 3.65 -2.2%

Away win 45.3% 46.5% 2.15 -2.6%

Over 2.5 52.6% 64.5% 1.55 -18.5%

Over 3.5 26.4% 41.7% 2.40 -22.0%

BTTS 52.5% 69.0% 1.45 -23.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob52.5%

A 45% / xG 1.0-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 0–1✓ 11.6%

#3 1–2 9.4%

#4 0–0 7.4%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wuppertaler1.0

Bonner SC1.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 26.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WUPPERTALER · PPG 0.69

BONNER SC · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.56) vs Home POOR (0.69)

Win probability 1X2

Wuppertaler (H) 28.3%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -13.3%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -2.2%

Bonner SC (A) 45.3%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -2.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wuppertaler face Bonner SC in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wuppertaler a 28% chance, the draw 26% and Bonner SC 45%, so Bonner SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Wuppertaler and 1.6 for Bonner SC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wuppertaler are averaging 0.69 points per game versus 1.56 for Bonner SC. This match finished 0-1.

Wuppertaler vs Bonner SC Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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