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Germany - Regionalliga - West logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - West West - 34 Home Deluxe Arena· Paderborn Saturday, May 16, 2026 12:00
Paderborn B logo Paderborn B PPG 1.69
2-0 HIT CS3
Rodinghausen logo Rodinghausen PPG 0.81
Draw· -5.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.8%
Odds: 1.77 EV: -6.5%
Draw 24.5%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -5.6%
Away 22.7%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -8.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.50 -7.9%
Over 3.5 39.6% Odds: 2.20 -12.9%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.45 -13.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Paderborn B
2.08
Rodinghausen
1.11

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 51%
Score Hit 26%
ROI -45.7%
Bet Hit 33% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.69) vs P(Home)=52.8%

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