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Rodinghausen vs Wiedenbruck Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Rodinghausen

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Wiedenbruck

PPG 0.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-14.5%0-22.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-07.6%1-19.3%1-25.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.0%2-19.7%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.6%3-16.8%3-24.1%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-15.7%4+-23.5%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 25.1% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 42.2% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.8%

H 49% / xG 2.1-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.0%

#4 3–1 6.8%

#5 1–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rodinghausen2.1

Wiedenbruck1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RODINGHAUSEN · PPG 1.00

WIEDENBRUCK · PPG 0.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs P(Home)=49.3%

Win probability 1X2

Rodinghausen (H) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wiedenbruck (A) 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rodinghausen face Wiedenbruck in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rodinghausen a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Wiedenbruck 25%, so Rodinghausen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Rodinghausen and 1.2 for Wiedenbruck (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rodinghausen are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.19 for Wiedenbruck. This match finished 0-1.

Rodinghausen vs Wiedenbruck Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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