Today / Germany - Regionalliga - West / Schalke 04 B vs Bocholt

Schalke 04 B vs Bocholt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

West - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Schalke 04 B

PPG 1.63 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Bocholt

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.0%0-22.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-05.2%1-17.3%1-25.1%1-32.4%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.3%2-18.9%2-26.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.2%3-17.3%3-25.1%3-32.4%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-18.0%4+-25.6%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.2% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 25.5% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 53.9% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -37.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.5%

H 50% / xG 2.5-1.4 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.9%

#2 1–1 7.3%

#3 3–1 7.3%

#4 2–0 6.3%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schalke 04 B2.5

Bocholt1.4

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 53.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHALKE 04 B · PPG 1.63

BOCHOLT · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.63) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Schalke 04 B (H) 50.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bocholt (A) 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schalke 04 B face Bocholt in Germany - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schalke 04 B a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Bocholt 26%, so Schalke 04 B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Schalke 04 B and 1.4 for Bocholt (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schalke 04 B are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 1.25 for Bocholt. This match finished 1-0.

Schalke 04 B vs Bocholt Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Regionalliga - West Predictions