Ykkösliiga

FINLAND · 14 MATCHES TRACKED · 22 MAY 2026 – 3 JUL 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 14 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

64.3%

1X2

9/14

57.1%

O/U 2.5

8/14

78.6%

BTTS

11/14

57.1%

Exact score

8/14

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

50.0%

Hit rate

3/6

1.64

Avg odds

-16.7%

ROI

-1.0u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.58 · -22.5% ROI

BTTS · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.73 · +72.5% ROI

HOME WIN · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.60 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

50%

Hit

-16.7%

ROI

Match log

14 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

July 2026 // 0 PICKS · 0 HIT · 0 MISS

3 JUL JaPS vs SJK Akatemia — NO PICK 1–0 —

June 2026 // 3 PICKS · 1 HIT · 2 MISS

28 JUN KaPa vs JaPS BTTS -16% 3–1 HIT 26 JUN Klubi-04 vs SJK Akatemia — NO PICK 2–0 —15 JUN SJK Akatemia vs Haka — NO PICK 0–2 —13 JUN JIPPO vs KaPa — NO PICK 3–0 —12 JUN JaPS vs PK-35 — NO PICK 0–5 —9 JUN SJK Akatemia vs JIPPO Away -17% 0–0 MISS 5 JUN Haka vs JaPS Home -17% 1–2 MISS

May 2026 // 3 PICKS · 2 HIT · 1 MISS

31 MAY PK-35 vs Klubi-04 Home -9% 1–1 MISS 29 MAY Haka vs JIPPO BTTS -5% 2–1 HIT 29 MAY KaPa vs JaPS — NO PICK 2–1 —27 MAY Klubi-04 vs PK-35 — NO PICK 0–1 —23 MAY JIPPO vs PK-35 — NO PICK 0–1 —22 MAY SJK Akatemia vs Haka Away -21% 0–1 HIT