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Klubi-04 vs SJK Akatemia Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Group Stage ·Friday, June 26, 2026, 16:00

Klubi-04

PPG 0.20 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

SJK Akatemia

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.4%0-113.8%0-23.8%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.9%1-111.4%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.7%2-14.7%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.4%3-11.3%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 40.4% 1.91 -22.8%

Draw 34.1% 3.55 +21.1%

Away win 25.5% 3.35 -8.8%

Over 2.5 34.0% 1.70 -42.2%

Over 3.5 14.6% 2.75 -35.9%

BTTS 44.2% 1.57 -30.6%

Home Over 1.5 32.5% 1.80 -41.5%

Away Over 1.5 18.0% 2.60 -31.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.2%

H 40% / xG 0.8-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 25.4%

#2 1–0 20.9%

#3 1–1 11.4%

#4 0–1 13.8%

#5 2–0✓ 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Klubi-040.8

SJK Akatemia0.5

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 14.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KLUBI-04 · PPG 0.20

SJK AKATEMIA · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.20), Away POOR (0.40)

Win probability 1X2

Klubi-04 (H) 40.4%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -22.8%

Draw 34.1%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +21.1%

SJK Akatemia (A) 25.5%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -8.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Klubi-04 face SJK Akatemia in Finland - Ykkösliiga on Friday, June 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Klubi-04 a 40% chance, the draw 34% and SJK Akatemia 26%, so Klubi-04 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Klubi-04 and 0.5 for SJK Akatemia (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Klubi-04 are averaging 0.20 points per game versus 0.40 for SJK Akatemia. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +21.1%. This match finished 2-0.

Klubi-04 vs SJK Akatemia Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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