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Haka vs JIPPO Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Group Stage ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 15:30

Haka

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

JIPPO

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.7%0-112.6%0-27.4%0-32.9%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.3%1-113.3%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.0%2-17.1%2-24.2%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.1%3-12.5%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% 48.8% 2.05 -26.6%

Draw 28.1% 31.3% 3.20 -6.0%

Away win 36.1% 29.4% 3.40 +22.7%

Over 2.5 46.7% 46.5% 2.15 +0.4%

Over 3.5 27.7% 25.3% 3.95 +5.7%

BTTS 51.6% 54.1% 1.85 -4.5%

Home O1.5 28.6% 45.5% 2.20 -22.3%

Away O1.5 32.9% 30.8% 3.25 +6.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -16.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.6%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.7%

#3 0–1 12.6%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haka1.1

JIPPO1.2

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.7% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HAKA · PPG 2.00

JIPPO · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Haka (H) 35.8%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -26.6%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -6.0%

JIPPO (A) 36.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +22.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Haka face JIPPO in Finland - Ykkösliiga on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haka a 36% chance, the draw 28% and JIPPO 36%, so JIPPO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Haka and 1.2 for JIPPO (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haka are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 3.00 for JIPPO. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +22.7%. This match finished 2-1.

Haka vs JIPPO Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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