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SJK Akatemia vs JIPPO Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Group Stage ·Tuesday, June 9, 2026, 16:00

SJK Akatemia

PPG 0.75 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

JIPPO

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 51.5% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.6%0-123.8%0-214.5%0-35.9%0-4+2.3%1 1-08.1%1-19.9%1-26.0%1-32.4%1-4+1.0%2 2-01.7%2-12.0%2-21.2%2-30.5%2-4+0.2%3 3-00.2%3-10.3%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 18.2% 20.0% 5.00 -5.4%

Draw 30.2% 28.6% 3.50 +5.7%

Away win 51.5% 61.7% 1.62 -16.6%

Over 2.5 37.8% 51.8% 1.93 -27.1%

Over 3.5 18.9% 30.3% 3.30 -22.6%

BTTS 44.2% 54.6% 1.83 -19.1%

Home O1.5 20.0% 26.0% 3.85 -13.8%

Away O1.5 33.0% 56.5% 1.77 -41.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -16.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob44.2%

A 52% / xG 0.4-1.2 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 23.8%

#2 0–0✓ 19.6%

#3 0–2 14.5%

#4 1–1 9.9%

#5 1–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK Akatemia0.4

JIPPO1.2

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK AKATEMIA · PPG 0.75

JIPPO · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

SJK Akatemia (H) 18.2%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -5.4%

Draw 30.2%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +5.7%

JIPPO (A) 51.5%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -16.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK Akatemia face JIPPO in Finland - Ykkösliiga on Tuesday, June 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK Akatemia a 18% chance, the draw 30% and JIPPO 52%, so JIPPO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for SJK Akatemia and 1.2 for JIPPO (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK Akatemia are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 2.25 for JIPPO. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.7%. This match finished 0-0.

SJK Akatemia vs JIPPO Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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