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JaPS vs PK-35 Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Group Stage ·Friday, June 12, 2026, 15:30

JaPS

PPG 1.80 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

PK-35

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-026.4%0-120.2%0-27.8%0-32.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.9%1-111.4%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-04.2%2-13.2%2-21.2%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.8%3-10.6%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.8% 33.3% 3.00 -10.0%

Draw 35.8% 31.3% 3.20 +14.6%

Away win 36.4% 44.4% 2.25 -18.1%

Over 2.5 21.2% 48.8% 2.05 -33.9%

Over 3.5 12.2% 27.0% 3.70 -32.9%

BTTS 44.2% 55.6% 1.80 -20.4%

Home O1.5 33.0% 35.7% 2.80 -7.6%

Away O1.5 24.3% 43.5% 2.30 -26.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.2%

D 36% / xG 0.6-0.8 / U2.5 21% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 26.4%

#2 0–1 20.2%

#3 1–0 14.9%

#4 1–1 11.4%

#5 0–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JaPS0.6

PK-350.8

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 21.2% · O3.5 PROB 12.2%

Form & verdict PPG

JAPS · PPG 1.80

PK-35 · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.80), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

JaPS (H) 27.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -10.0%

Draw 35.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +14.6%

PK-35 (A) 36.4%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -18.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

JaPS face PK-35 in Finland - Ykkösliiga on Friday, June 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JaPS a 28% chance, the draw 36% and PK-35 36%, so PK-35 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for JaPS and 0.8 for PK-35 (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 21% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JaPS are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 2.00 for PK-35. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +14.6%. This match finished 0-5.

JaPS vs PK-35 Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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