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SJK Akatemia vs Haka Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Group Stage ·Monday, June 15, 2026, 15:30

SJK Akatemia

PPG 0.80 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Haka

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.2%0-124.3%0-213.3%0-34.9%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.1%1-110.0%1-25.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-01.9%2-12.0%2-21.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.3%3-10.3%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 18.5% 21.1% 4.75 -7.3%

Draw 33.9% 26.7% 3.75 +27.1%

Away win 47.7% 62.5% 1.60 -23.7%

Over 2.5 34.9% 58.8% 1.70 -40.7%

Over 3.5 18.2% 37.0% 2.70 -30.5%

BTTS 44.2% 59.9% 1.67 -26.2%

Home O1.5 20.0% 30.8% 3.25 -21.0%

Away O1.5 32.8% 61.7% 1.62 -46.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob44.2%

A 48% / xG 0.4-1.1 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.2%

#2 0–1 24.3%

#3 0–2✓ 13.3%

#4 1–1 10.0%

#5 1–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK Akatemia0.4

Haka1.1

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK AKATEMIA · PPG 0.80

HAKA · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

SJK Akatemia (H) 18.5%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -7.3%

Draw 33.9%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +27.1%

Haka (A) 47.7%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -23.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK Akatemia face Haka in Finland - Ykkösliiga on Monday, June 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK Akatemia a 19% chance, the draw 34% and Haka 48%, so Haka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for SJK Akatemia and 1.1 for Haka (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK Akatemia are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.75 for Haka. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +27.1%. This match finished 0-2.

SJK Akatemia vs Haka Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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