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PK-35 vs Klubi-04 Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Group Stage ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 15:00

PK-35

PPG 1.75 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Klubi-04

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 51.3% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.0%0-18.3%0-21.8%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.2%1-110.2%1-22.2%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-014.2%2-16.2%2-21.4%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-05.8%3-12.5%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-11.0%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.3% 56.5% 1.77 -9.2%

Draw 29.5% 28.2% 3.55 +2.8%

Away win 19.2% 25.6% 3.90 -15.1%

Over 2.5 32.7% 56.5% 1.77 -42.1%

Over 3.5 17.9% 33.9% 2.95 -28.3%

BTTS 41.8% 59.9% 1.67 -30.2%

Home O1.5 34.5% 56.5% 1.77 -38.9%

Away O1.5 7.2% 33.3% 3.00 -47.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -16.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob41.8%

H 51% / xG 1.2-0.4 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 23.2%

#2 0–0 19.0%

#3 2–0 14.2%

#4 1–1✓ 10.2%

#5 0–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PK-351.2

Klubi-040.4

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.7% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PK-35 · PPG 1.75

KLUBI-04 · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=51.3%

Win probability 1X2

PK-35 (H) 51.3%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -9.2%

Draw 29.5%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +2.8%

Klubi-04 (A) 19.2%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -15.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

PK-35 face Klubi-04 in Finland - Ykkösliiga on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PK-35 a 51% chance, the draw 30% and Klubi-04 19%, so PK-35 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for PK-35 and 0.4 for Klubi-04 (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PK-35 are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.50 for Klubi-04. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.8%. This match finished 1-1.

PK-35 vs Klubi-04 Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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