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Klubi-04 vs PK-35 Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Group Stage ·Wednesday, May 27, 2026, 16:00

Klubi-04

PPG 0.25 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

PK-35

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-026.6%0-123.0%0-210.0%0-32.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.2%1-110.6%1-24.6%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-02.8%2-12.4%2-21.1%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.4%3-10.4%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 19.9% 29.4% 3.40 -19.4%

Draw 40.0% 29.9% 3.35 +34.0%

Away win 40.1% 51.3% 1.95 -21.8%

Over 2.5 25.8% 54.1% 1.85 -31.4%

Over 3.5 4.6% 31.3% 3.20 -51.2%

BTTS 41.5% 58.8% 1.70 -29.4%

Home O1.5 7.8% 35.7% 2.80 -46.9%

Away O1.5 21.5% 51.3% 1.95 -34.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -16.7%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob41.5%

A 40% / xG 0.5-0.9 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 26.6%

#2 0–1✓ 23.0%

#3 1–1 10.6%

#4 1–0 12.2%

#5 0–2 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Klubi-040.5

PK-350.9

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 4.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KLUBI-04 · PPG 0.25

PK-35 · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Klubi-04 (H) 19.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -19.4%

Draw 40.0%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +34.0%

PK-35 (A) 40.1%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -21.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Klubi-04 face PK-35 in Finland - Ykkösliiga on Wednesday, May 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Klubi-04 a 20% chance, the draw 40% and PK-35 40%, so PK-35 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.5 for Klubi-04 and 0.9 for PK-35 (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Klubi-04 are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 1.75 for PK-35. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +34.0%. This match finished 0-1.

Klubi-04 vs PK-35 Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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