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JIPPO vs KaPa Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Group Stage ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 13:00

JIPPO

PPG 1.20 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

KaPa

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.9%0-113.1%0-23.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.2%1-112.1%1-23.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.3%2-15.6%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.9%3-11.7%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.5%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% 67.6% 1.48 -35.9%

Draw 32.7% 25.3% 3.95 +29.2%

Away win 23.9% 16.7% 6.00 +26.0%

Over 2.5 34.9% 56.5% 1.77 -38.2%

Over 3.5 15.2% 33.9% 2.95 -33.1%

BTTS 44.2% 54.6% 1.83 -19.1%

Home O1.5 33.0% 63.7% 1.57 -48.2%

Away O1.5 18.0% 25.0% 4.00 -16.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 79%

Score Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.2%

H 43% / xG 0.9-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.9%

#2 1–0 20.2%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 0–1 13.1%

#5 2–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JIPPO0.9

KaPa0.6

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 15.2%

Form & verdict PPG

JIPPO · PPG 1.20

KAPA · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

JIPPO (H) 43.3%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -35.9%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +29.2%

KaPa (A) 23.9%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +26.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

JIPPO face KaPa in Finland - Ykkösliiga on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JIPPO a 43% chance, the draw 33% and KaPa 24%, so JIPPO are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for JIPPO and 0.6 for KaPa (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JIPPO are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.40 for KaPa. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +29.2%. This match finished 3-0.

JIPPO vs KaPa Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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