Today / Finland - Ykkösliiga / JIPPO vs PK-35

JIPPO vs PK-35 Prediction— Finland - Ykkösliiga

Group Stage ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:00

JIPPO logo
JIPPO
PPG 1.50 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
PK-35 logo
PK-35
PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-033.2%0-114.2%0-23.0%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-022.4%1-19.6%1-22.1%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-07.5%2-13.2%2-20.7%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.7%3-10.7%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.5% 52.4% 1.91 -32.2%
Draw 41.0% 31.3% 3.20 +31.2%
Away win 23.5% 26.7% 3.75 -7.1%
Over 2.5 23.8% 46.5% 2.15 -29.3%
Over 3.5 2.6% 25.3% 3.95 -53.8%
BTTS 29.3% 52.6% 1.90 -26.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%
O2.5 57%
BTTS 79%
Score Hit 57%
ROI -16.7%
Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob29.3%

H 36% / xG 0.7-0.4 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 33.2%
#2 1–0 22.4%
#3 0–1 14.2%
#4 1–1 9.6%
#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JIPPO0.7
PK-350.4

COMBINED 1.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.8% · O3.5 PROB 2.6%

Form & verdict PPG

JIPPO · PPG 1.50

PK-35 · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

JIPPO (H) 35.5%
ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -32.2%
Draw 41.0%
ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +31.2%
PK-35 (A) 23.5%
ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -7.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

JIPPO face PK-35 in Finland - Ykkösliiga on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JIPPO a 36% chance, the draw 41% and PK-35 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for JIPPO and 0.4 for PK-35 (1.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JIPPO are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.33 for PK-35. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +31.2%. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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