Ykkönen

FINLAND · 19 MATCHES TRACKED · 22 MAY 2026 – 4 JUL 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 19 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

52.6%

1X2

10/19

78.9%

O/U 2.5

15/19

68.4%

BTTS

13/19

36.8%

Exact score

7/19

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

80.0%

Hit rate

4/5

1.50

Avg odds

+12.2%

ROI

+0.6u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME O1.5 · N=3 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.33 · +33.0% ROI

AWAY O1.5 · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.76 · -19.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

100%

Hit

+62.0%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

100%

Hit

+33.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

50%

Hit

-33.5%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

100%

Hit

+33.0%

ROI

Match log

19 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

July 2026 // 3 PICKS · 3 HIT · 0 MISS

4 JUL SalPa vs VJS Over 2.5 -9% 2–2 HIT 4 JUL KuPS Ak. vs Tampere Utd AO1.5 2–3 HIT 4 JUL OLS Oulu vs Inter Turku B Over 2.5 -6% 1–3 HIT

June 2026 // 10 PICKS · 8 HIT · 2 MISS

29 JUN VJS vs TPV Over 2.5 -14% 2–1 HIT 28 JUN OLS Oulu vs KuPS Ak. HO1.5 2–2 HIT 25 JUN JJK vs Inter Turku B HO1.5 11–1 HIT 14 JUN PKKU vs TPV Over 2.5 -10% 2–2 HIT 12 JUN SalPa vs KuPS Ak. HO1.5 4–3 HIT 11 JUN Tampere Utd vs OLS Oulu BTTS -25% 3–0 MISS 6 JUN OLS Oulu vs SalPa Over 2.5 -11% 5–0 HIT 6 JUN TPV vs Inter Turku B Over 2.5 -13% 1–1 MISS 6 JUN JJK vs PKKU Over 2.5 -13% 1–3 HIT 2 JUN JJK vs VJS BTTS -12% 2–2 HIT

May 2026 // 2 PICKS · 2 HIT · 0 MISS

29 MAY PKKU vs KuPS Ak. HO1.5 3–0 HIT 29 MAY TPV vs Tampere Utd AO1.5 0–3 HIT