Ykkönen
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 19 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
52.6%
1X2
10/19
78.9%
O/U 2.5
15/19
68.4%
BTTS
13/19
36.8%
Exact score
7/19
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
18
Settled
77.8%
Hit rate
14/18
1.41
Avg odds
+9.3%
ROI
+1.7u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=12 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.35 · -0.6% ROI
BTTS · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.44 · -4.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.53 · +53.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.80 · +80.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+80.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
5
Bets
100%
Hit
+33.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
3
Bets
33%
Hit
-56.7%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
9
Bets
78%
Hit
+10.2%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
July 2026 // 3 PICKS · 3 HIT · 0 MISS
4 JUL SalPa vs VJS Over 2.5 -9% 2–2 HIT4 JUL KuPS Ak. vs Tampere Utd Over 2.5 -11% 2–3 HIT4 JUL OLS Oulu vs Inter Turku B Over 2.5 -6% 1–3 HITJune 2026 // 10 PICKS · 8 HIT · 2 MISS
29 JUN VJS vs TPV Over 2.5 -14% 2–1 HIT28 JUN OLS Oulu vs KuPS Ak. Over 2.5 -14% 2–2 HIT25 JUN JJK vs Inter Turku B Over 2.5 -2% 11–1 HIT14 JUN PKKU vs TPV Over 2.5 -10% 2–2 HIT12 JUN SalPa vs KuPS Ak. Over 2.5 -3% 4–3 HIT11 JUN Tampere Utd vs OLS Oulu BTTS -25% 3–0 MISS6 JUN OLS Oulu vs SalPa Over 2.5 -11% 5–0 HIT6 JUN TPV vs Inter Turku B Over 2.5 -13% 1–1 MISS6 JUN JJK vs PKKU Over 2.5 -13% 1–3 HIT2 JUN JJK vs VJS BTTS -12% 2–2 HITMay 2026 // 2 PICKS · 2 HIT · 0 MISS
29 MAY PKKU vs KuPS Ak. Over 2.5 -18% 3–0 HIT29 MAY TPV vs Tampere Utd Away +18% 0–3 HIT