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Finland - Ykkönen logo Finland flag Finland - Ykkönen Group Stage Kalevan Urheilupuisto· Kerava Friday, May 29, 2026 15:30
PKKU logo PKKU PPG 1.33
3-0 HIT CS5
KuPS Ak. logo KuPS Ak. PPG 0.33
Away· -6.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.2%
Odds: 1.62 EV: -9.0%
Draw 22.6%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -7.1%
Away 21.1%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -6.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.36 -18.3%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 1.83 -33.8%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.40 -22.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

PKKU
2.15
KuPS Ak.
0.96

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -18.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -18.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 57%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=56.2%

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