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JJK vs VJS Prediction— Finland - Ykkönen

Group Stage ·Tuesday, June 2, 2026, 15:30

JJK

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

VJS

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.4% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-17.0%0-25.6%0-33.0%0-4+1.7%1 1-06.7%1-110.7%1-28.6%1-34.6%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.1%2-18.2%2-26.6%2-33.5%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.6%3-14.2%3-23.3%3-31.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.2%4+-21.8%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.0% 38.2% 2.62 -8.3%

Draw 23.9% 28.6% 3.50 -9.8%

Away win 41.1% 45.5% 2.20 -9.6%

Over 2.5 60.7% 65.4% 1.53 -7.1%

Over 3.5 38.1% 44.4% 2.25 -14.3%

BTTS 61.4% 69.4% 1.44 -11.6%

Home O1.5 47.7% 50.0% 2.00 -4.6%

Away O1.5 44.6% 54.6% 1.83 -18.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.4%

A 41% / xG 1.5-1.6 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 8.2%

#4 2–2✓ 6.6%

#5 0–0 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JJK1.5

VJS1.6

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 38.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JJK · PPG 2.00

VJS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=35.0%

Win probability 1X2

JJK (H) 35.0%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -8.3%

Draw 23.9%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -9.8%

VJS (A) 41.1%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -9.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

JJK face VJS in Finland - Ykkönen on Tuesday, June 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JJK a 35% chance, the draw 24% and VJS 41%, so VJS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for JJK and 1.6 for VJS (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JJK are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for VJS. This match finished 2-2.

JJK vs VJS Prediction— Finland - Ykkönen

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Ykkönen Predictions