OLS Oulu vs SalPa Prediction— Finland - Ykkönen

Finland - Ykkönen Group Stage Raatin stadion· Oulu Saturday, June 6, 2026 13:00

OLS Oulu PPG 2.25

VS PENDING

SalPa PPG 1.25

Home· -1.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

OLS Oulu face SalPa in Finland - Ykkönen on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives OLS Oulu a 45% chance, the draw 25% and SalPa 30%, so OLS Oulu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for OLS Oulu and 1.2 for SalPa (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, OLS Oulu are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 1.25 for SalPa.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.9%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -1.2%

Draw 24.8%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -10.9%

Away 30.3%

Odds: 2.80 EV: -15.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.6% Odds: 1.50 -10.6%

Over 3.5 36.3% Odds: 2.20 -20.1%

BTTS 57.4% Odds: 1.44 -17.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-1

3rd 1-0

4th 2-0

5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

OLS Oulu

1.62

SalPa

1.20

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -10.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -10.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 43%

Score Hit 57%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=44.9%