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JJK vs Inter Turku B Prediction— Finland - Ykkönen

Group Stage ·Thursday, June 25, 2026, 16:00

JJK

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inter Turku B

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 75.6% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.2%0-21.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-02.1%1-13.8%1-23.4%1-32.1%1-4+1.4%2 2-03.4%2-16.1%2-25.5%2-33.3%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.6%3-16.6%3-26.0%3-33.6%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-06.6%4+-112.0%4+-210.9%4+-36.5%4+-4+4.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 57.5% 1.50 -13.8%

Draw 18.5% 4.20 -13.4%

Away win 24.0% 4.80 +9.1%

Over 2.5 75.6% 1.30 -1.7%

Over 3.5 52.9% 1.73 -8.5%

BTTS 68.6% 1.36 -6.7%

Win probability 1X2

JJK (H) 57.5%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -13.8%

Draw 18.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -13.4%

Inter Turku B (A) 24.0%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +9.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob68.6%

H 57% / xG 3.2-1.8 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.6%

#2 2–1 6.1%

#3 3–2 6.0%

#4 2–2 5.5%

#5 4–1 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

JJK3.2

Inter Turku B1.8

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JJK · PPG 1.50

INTER TURKU B · PPG 0.80

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.80)

Match Preview & Prediction

JJK face Inter Turku B in Finland - Ykkönen on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives JJK a 57% chance, the draw 19% and Inter Turku B 24%, so JJK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for JJK and 1.8 for Inter Turku B (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, JJK are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.80 for Inter Turku B. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +24.3%.

JJK vs Inter Turku B Prediction— Finland - Ykkönen

Match Preview & Prediction

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