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OLS Oulu vs Inter Turku B Prediction— Finland - Ykkönen

Group Stage ·Saturday, July 4, 2026, 15:00

OLS Oulu

PPG 2.17 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Inter Turku B

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 78.3% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-10.7%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-02.3%1-12.9%1-21.8%1-30.7%1-4+0.3%2 2-04.5%2-15.6%2-23.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.8%3-17.2%3-24.5%3-31.9%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-015.6%4+-119.4%4+-212.1%4+-35.0%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.8% 83.3% 1.20 -15.0%

Draw 17.2% 16.7% 6.00 +1.9%

Away win 12.0% 10.5% 9.50 +8.4%

Over 2.5 78.3% 83.3% 1.20 -6.0%

Over 3.5 53.2% 66.7% 1.50 -20.2%

BTTS 63.3% 69.4% 1.44 -8.8%

Home O1.5 77.8% 87.7% 1.14 -11.3%

Away O1.5 39.8% 30.8% 3.25 +29.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 80%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)3.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob63.3%

H 71% / xG 3.9-1.2 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.2%

#2 4–1 7.0%

#3 3–0 5.8%

#4 4–0 5.6%

#5 2–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

OLS Oulu3.9

Inter Turku B1.2

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.3% · O3.5 PROB 53.2%

Form & verdict PPG

OLS OULU · PPG 2.17

INTER TURKU B · PPG 0.67

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away POOR (0.67) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

OLS Oulu (H) 70.8%

ODDS 1.20 · IMPLIED 83.3% EV -15.0%

Draw 17.2%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +1.9%

Inter Turku B (A) 12.0%

ODDS 9.50 · IMPLIED 10.5% EV +8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

OLS Oulu face Inter Turku B in Finland - Ykkönen on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives OLS Oulu a 71% chance, the draw 17% and Inter Turku B 12%, so OLS Oulu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.9 for OLS Oulu and 1.2 for Inter Turku B (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, OLS Oulu are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 0.67 for Inter Turku B. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +29.3%. This match finished 1-3.

OLS Oulu vs Inter Turku B Prediction— Finland - Ykkönen

Match Preview & Prediction

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