Leagues / FINLAND / Kakkonen - Lohko B

Kakkonen - Lohko B

FINLAND · 29 MATCHES TRACKED · 4 JUN 2026 – 18 JUL 2026

▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE

SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 26 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

65.4%

1X2

17/26

61.5%

O/U 2.5

16/26

73.1%

BTTS

19/26

38.5%

Exact score

10/26

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

58.3%

Hit rate

14/24

1.32

Avg odds

-24.7%

ROI

-5.9u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=10 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.36 · -33.1% ROI

HOME O1.5 · N=7 57.1% HIT · AVG 1.21 · -33.4% ROI

AWAY O1.5 · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.40 · -19.0% ROI

BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.50 · +50.0% ROI

HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.17 · +17.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

63%

Hit

-22.6%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

71%

Hit

-4.4%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

50%

Hit

-35.1%

ROI

Match log

26 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

July 2026 // 15 PICKS · 9 HIT · 6 MISS

18 JUL HJS vs MuSa HO1.5 2–1 HIT 18 JUL EPS vs NJS HO1.5 2–1 HIT 18 JUL EBK vs P-Iirot Over 2.5 -15% 1–1 MISS 18 JUL Ilves B vs Honka AO1.5 2–2 HIT 17 JUL GrIFK vs AIFK AO1.5 0–1 MISS 14 JUL Ilves B vs GrIFK Over 2.5 -16% 6–2 HIT 13 JUL Honka vs HJS HO1.5 1–1 MISS 11 JUL EPS vs P-Iirot Over 2.5 -10% 2–0 MISS 11 JUL NJS vs EBK Over 2.5 -17% 1–3 HIT 10 JUL AIFK vs Ilves B HO1.5 1–1 MISS 9 JUL MuSa vs GrIFK AO1.5 3–1 MISS 5 JUL Ilves B vs EPS Over 2.5 -7% 4–2 HIT 4 JUL Honka vs MuSa HO1.5 7–1 HIT 3 JUL GrIFK vs NJS Home -23% 2–0 HIT 2 JUL EBK vs AIFK AO1.5 1–6 HIT