Today / Finland - Kakkonen Group B / EPS vs HJS Akatemia
EPS vs HJS Akatemia Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B
Group B ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 15:00
// Model verdict
BTTS
Model probability 60.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 53% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%
Form & verdict
EPS · PPG 1.89
HJS AKATEMIA · PPG 1.67
xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
EPS face HJS Akatemia in Finland - Kakkonen Group B on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives EPS a 53% chance, the draw 23% and HJS Akatemia 24%, so EPS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for EPS and 1.2 for HJS Akatemia (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, EPS are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.67 for HJS Akatemia. This match finished 4-1.