Today / Finland - Kakkonen Group B / Honka vs P-Iirot

Honka vs P-Iirot Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Group B ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Honka

PPG 2.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

P-Iirot

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 68.0% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-12.6%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.0%1-16.8%1-22.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.6%2-19.0%2-23.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.4%3-18.0%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-011.8%4+-110.0%4+-24.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.0% 83.3% 1.20 -18.4%

Draw 16.8% 17.4% 5.75 -2.0%

Away win 15.3% 11.8% 8.50 +18.0%

Over 2.5 63.9% 84.0% 1.19 -24.0%

Over 3.5 42.6% 64.1% 1.56 -33.5%

BTTS 54.0% 67.1% 1.49 -19.5%

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 21.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 73%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob54.0%

H 68% / xG 2.7-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.6%

#2 3–0 9.4%

#3 2–1 9.0%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 1–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Honka2.7

P-Iirot0.8

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HONKA · PPG 2.25

P-IIROT · PPG 0.75

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.81 for Home, form 2.25 vs 0.75 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Honka (H) 68.0%

ODDS 1.20 · IMPLIED 83.3% EV -18.4%

Draw 16.8%

ODDS 5.75 · IMPLIED 17.4% EV -2.0%

P-Iirot (A) 15.3%

ODDS 8.50 · IMPLIED 11.8% EV +18.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Honka face P-Iirot in Finland - Kakkonen Group B on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Honka a 68% chance, the draw 17% and P-Iirot 15%, so Honka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Honka and 0.8 for P-Iirot (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Honka are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.75 for P-Iirot.

Honka vs P-Iirot Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen Group B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen Group B Predictions