Today / Estonia - Meistriliiga / Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn

Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Matchday 25 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:30

Kalju Nomme

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLL

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

FC Levadia Tallinn

PPG 2.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.0% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-19.5%0-26.6%0-33.0%0-4+1.4%1 1-08.9%1-112.3%1-28.5%1-33.9%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.7%2-18.0%2-25.5%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.5%3-13.4%3-22.4%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.5%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% 18.2% 5.50 +92.0%

Draw 23.7% 26.7% 3.75 -6.7%

Away win 41.5% 66.7% 1.50 -37.8%

Over 2.5 53.5% 58.8% 1.70 -9.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 38.2% 2.62 -17.5%

BTTS 55.0% 57.1% 1.75 -3.8%

Home O1.5 37.2% 26.7% 3.75 +39.5%

Away O1.5 40.9% 61.7% 1.62 -33.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 39%

ROI 9.7%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.0%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 0–1 9.5%

#4 2–1 8.0%

#5 1–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kalju Nomme1.3

FC Levadia Tallinn1.4

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KALJU NOMME · PPG 1.75

FC LEVADIA TALLINN · PPG 2.67

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.09 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kalju Nomme (H) 34.9%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +92.0%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -6.7%

FC Levadia Tallinn (A) 41.5%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -37.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kalju Nomme face FC Levadia Tallinn in Estonia - Meistriliiga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kalju Nomme a 35% chance, the draw 24% and FC Levadia Tallinn 42%, so FC Levadia Tallinn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kalju Nomme and 1.4 for FC Levadia Tallinn (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kalju Nomme are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.67 for FC Levadia Tallinn. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +70.7%. This match finished 2-3.

Kalju Nomme vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Estonia - Meistriliiga Predictions