| Grade | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 4 | 50.0% | +625.0% |
| B | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| C | 2 | 50.0% | −1350.0% |
| Unrated | 1 | 100.0% | +10500.0% |
| Market | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 42.9% | −1000.0% |
| BTTS | 1 | 100.0% | +7300.0% |
| Verdict | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @27% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | Best EV: Home @24% | 1 | 100.0% | +7300.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @24% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | Best EV: Home @21% | 1 | 100.0% | +12000.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @23% | 1 | 100.0% | +10500.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value | Best EV: Home @34% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @11% | 1 | 100.0% | +10500.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value | Best EV: Home @75% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Workington vs Leek Town | BTTS | — | 0-1 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Hebburn Town vs Rushall | Home | -3% EV | 2-0 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Hednesford vs Ashton Utd | Home | -8% EV | 3-3 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Ilkeston Town vs FC United | BTTS | — | 3-2 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Lancaster City vs Stocksbridge P. | Home | -6% EV | 2-0 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Morpeth Town vs Warrington | Home | 11% EV | 2-0 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Prescot Cables vs Bamber Bridge | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| 25 Apr | Rylands vs Stockton Town | Home | 75% EV | 1-2 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Whitby Town vs Cleethorpes | BTTS | — | 0-0 | MISS |
| 25 Apr | Hyde Utd vs Gainsborough | BTTS | — | 3-1 | HIT |
| 18 Apr | Bamber Bridge vs Hebburn Town | BTTS | 2% EV | 1-2 | HIT |
| 18 Apr | FC United vs Hyde Utd | Home | 24% EV | 0-1 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | Leek Town vs Whitby Town | Home | 21% EV | 3-2 | HIT |
| 18 Apr | Rushall vs Morpeth Town | Home | 23% EV | 1-0 | HIT |
| 18 Apr | Stocksbridge P. vs Ilkeston Town | BTTS | -10% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | Stockton Town vs Lancaster City | Over 2.5 | — | 1-1 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | Warrington vs Workington | Home | 34% EV | 2-3 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | Ashton Utd vs Guiseley | Home | 27% EV | 1-1 | MISS |