Leagues / ENGLAND / Non League Premier - Northern
Non League Premier - Northern
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 18 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
44.4%
1X2
8/18
50.0%
O/U 2.5
9/18
50.0%
BTTS
9/18
50.0%
Exact score
9/18
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
12
Settled
50.0%
Hit rate
6/12
1.90
Avg odds
-12.6%
ROI
-1.5u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=10 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.94 · -12.4% ROI
BTTS · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.70 · -13.5% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
2
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
4
Bets
75%
Hit
+49.5%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
5
Bets
60%
Hit
-9.8%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
April 2026 // 14 PICKS · 8 HIT · 6 MISS
25 APR Workington vs Leek Town BTTS 0–1 MISS25 APR Hednesford vs Ashton Utd Home -8% 3–3 MISS25 APR Hyde Utd vs Gainsborough BTTS 3–1 HIT25 APR Ilkeston Town vs FC United BTTS 3–2 HIT25 APR Lancaster City vs Stocksbridge P. Home -6% 2–0 HIT25 APR Morpeth Town vs Warrington Home +11% 2–0 HIT25 APR Prescot Cables vs Bamber Bridge — NO PICK 2–0 —25 APR Rylands vs Stockton Town Home +75% 1–2 MISS25 APR Whitby Town vs Cleethorpes BTTS 0–0 MISS25 APR Hebburn Town vs Rushall Home -3% 2–0 HIT18 APR Bamber Bridge vs Hebburn Town BTTS +2% 1–2 HIT18 APR FC United vs Hyde Utd Home +24% 0–1 MISS18 APR Leek Town vs Whitby Town Home +21% 3–2 HIT18 APR Rushall vs Morpeth Town Home +23% 1–0 HIT18 APR Stocksbridge P. vs Ilkeston Town BTTS -10% 0–0 MISS