← Back to picks

Morpeth Town vs Warrington Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

England - Non League Premier - Northern logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Northern Regular Season - 42 Craik Park· Morpeth, Northumberland Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00
Morpeth Town logo Morpeth Town PPG 1.58
2-0 HIT CS3
Warrington logo Warrington PPG 0.89
Home· +11.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Morpeth Town face Warrington in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Morpeth Town a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Warrington 21%, so Morpeth Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Morpeth Town and 0.9 for Warrington (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Morpeth Town are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 0.89 for Warrington. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.3%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.3%
Odds: 2.05 EV: +11.3%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -17.2%
Away 20.6%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -36.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 44.9% Odds: 1.73 -22.3%
Over 3.5 23.7% Odds: —
BTTS 46.5% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Morpeth Town
1.59
Warrington
0.88

Model Suggestion

Home +11.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.58) > Away POOR (0.89)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org