Morpeth Town PPG 1.58
Warrington PPG 0.89Morpeth Town face Warrington in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Morpeth Town a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Warrington 21%, so Morpeth Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Morpeth Town and 0.9 for Warrington (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Morpeth Town are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 0.89 for Warrington. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.3%. This match finished 2-0.
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.58) > Away POOR (0.89)