← Back to picks

Stocksbridge P. vs Ilkeston Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

England - Non League Premier - Northern logo England flag England - Non League Premier - Northern Regular Season - 41 Bracken Moor· Stocksbridge, South Yorkshire Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00
Stocksbridge P. logo Stocksbridge P. PPG 0.89
0-0 MISS
Ilkeston Town logo Ilkeston Town PPG 1.00
Home· +3.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Stocksbridge P. face Ilkeston Town in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stocksbridge P. a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Ilkeston Town 36%, so Stocksbridge P. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Stocksbridge P. and 1.3 for Ilkeston Town (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stocksbridge P. are averaging 0.89 points per game versus 1.00 for Ilkeston Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +3.4%. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.6%
Odds: 2.75 EV: +3.4%
Draw 26.0%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -14.2%
Away 36.3%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -22.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.7% Odds: —
Over 3.5 27.8% Odds: —
BTTS 54.1% Odds: 1.67 -9.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-1
4th 2-1
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Stocksbridge P.
1.34
Ilkeston Town
1.32

Model Suggestion

BTTS -9.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+3.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 0.4%
Bet Hit 50% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.89), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org