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Hyde Utd vs Gainsborough Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

Regular Season - 42 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Hyde Utd

PPG 1.42 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Gainsborough

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-17.3%0-24.5%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.5%1-111.6%1-27.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.3%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.0%3-14.9%3-23.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.8%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.8% 39.2% 2.55 +16.8%

Draw 24.7% 30.3% 3.30 -18.5%

Away win 29.5% 42.9% 2.33 -31.3%

Over 2.5 53.7% 60.6% 1.65 -11.4%

Over 3.5 31.4% — — —

BTTS 56.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -12.6%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob56.4%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–0 9.5%

#3 2–1 9.3%

#4 2–0 7.5%

#5 0–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hyde Utd1.6

Gainsborough1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HYDE UTD · PPG 1.42

GAINSBOROUGH · PPG 1.47

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Hyde Utd (H) 45.8%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +16.8%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -18.5%

Gainsborough (A) 29.5%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV -31.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hyde Utd face Gainsborough in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hyde Utd a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Gainsborough 30%, so Hyde Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Hyde Utd and 1.2 for Gainsborough (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hyde Utd are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.47 for Gainsborough. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +16.8%. This match finished 3-1.

Hyde Utd vs Gainsborough Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

Match Preview & Prediction

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