Workington vs Leek Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

England - Non League Premier - Northern Regular Season - 42 Borough Park· Workington, Cumbria Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Workington PPG 1.26

0-1 HIT CS5

Leek Town PPG 1.26

Home· -5.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Workington face Leek Town in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Workington a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Leek Town 27%, so Workington are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Workington and 1.1 for Leek Town (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Workington are averaging 1.26 points per game versus 1.26 for Leek Town. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -5.1%

Draw 26.2%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -13.5%

Away 27.4%

Odds: 3.10 EV: -15.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.80 -16.8%

Over 3.5 24.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 50.2% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Workington

1.46

Leek Town

1.06

Model SuggestionBTTS  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.26), Away AVERAGE (1.26)