Today / England - Non League Premier - Northern / Rylands vs Stockton Town

Rylands vs Stockton Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

Regular Season - 42 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

Rylands

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Stockton Town

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 60.5% vs bookmaker-implied 34.5% — a clear edge.

+75.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-15.4%0-22.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.2%1-110.3%1-24.8%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.7%2-19.9%2-24.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.8%3-16.3%3-22.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-14.7%4+-22.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.5% 34.5% 2.90 +75.4%

Draw 21.8% 30.3% 3.30 -28.1%

Away win 17.7% 47.6% 2.10 -62.8%

Over 2.5 54.1% 57.8% 1.73 -6.4%

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 51.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -12.6%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.5%

H 60% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 11.2%

#2 2–0 10.7%

#3 1–1 10.3%

#4 2–1 9.9%

#5 3–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rylands1.9

Stockton Town0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

RYLANDS · PPG 2.00

STOCKTON TOWN · PPG 1.56

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.56)

Win probability 1X2

Rylands (H) 60.5%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +75.4%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -28.1%

Stockton Town (A) 17.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -62.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rylands face Stockton Town in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rylands a 61% chance, the draw 22% and Stockton Town 18%, so Rylands are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Rylands and 0.9 for Stockton Town (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rylands are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.56 for Stockton Town. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +75.4%. This match finished 1-2.

Rylands vs Stockton Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Non League Premier - Northern Predictions