Lancaster City vs Stocksbridge P. Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

England - Non League Premier - Northern Regular Season - 42 Giant Axe Stadium· Lancaster, Lancashire Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Lancaster City PPG 1.68

2-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Stocksbridge P. PPG 0.95

Home· -5.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lancaster City face Stocksbridge P. in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lancaster City a 74% chance, the draw 17% and Stocksbridge P. 9%, so Lancaster City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Lancaster City and 0.7 for Stocksbridge P. (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lancaster City are averaging 1.68 points per game versus 0.95 for Stocksbridge P.. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 73.8%

Odds: 1.28 EV: -5.5%

Draw 16.9%

Odds: 4.80 EV: -18.9%

Away 9.3%

Odds: 7.75 EV: -27.9%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.0% Odds: 1.60 -10.4%

Over 3.5 33.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 43.4% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lancaster City

2.27

Stocksbridge P.

0.66

Model SuggestionHome -5.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -5.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.68) > Away POOR (0.95)