Ilkeston Town vs FC United Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Northern

England - Non League Premier - Northern Regular Season - 42 New Manor Ground· Ilkeston, Derbyshire Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Ilkeston Town PPG 1.53

3-2 MISS

FC United PPG 1.79

Away· -7.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ilkeston Town face FC United in England - Non League Premier - Northern on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ilkeston Town a 36% chance, the draw 26% and FC United 38%, so FC United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ilkeston Town and 1.3 for FC United (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ilkeston Town are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.79 for FC United. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.9%

Odds: 2.45 EV: -12.0%

Draw 26.3%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -15.8%

Away 37.8%

Odds: 2.45 EV: -7.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.5% Odds: 1.80 -12.7%

Over 3.5 26.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 53.2% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ilkeston Town

1.29

FC United

1.33

Model SuggestionBTTS  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 0.4%

Bet Hit 50% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.53), Away GOOD (1.79)